Donald Trump’s victory has sparked contrasting reactions in Central and Eastern Europe. Conservative Polish lawmakers celebrated with chants of his name, while others, particularly near the Ukraine warzone, fear the implications of a second Trump term. Concerns center on Trump potentially withdrawing U.S. support for Ukraine or NATO, which could embolden Russia and destabilize the region. Poland and the Baltic states, wary of returning to Moscow’s influence, are emphasizing their defense commitments to maintain U.S. engagement.
Michał Baranowski of the German Marshall Fund argues that Europe must increase its defense efforts, highlighting the urgency of self-reliance. Poland recently inaugurated a U.S. missile defense base, a symbol of bipartisan American support, but many wonder if it will endure under Trump, who has criticized NATO and threatened withdrawal in the past.
The election has already influenced Poland’s presidential campaign, with Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski positioning himself as a strong candidate due to his international experience. However, critics point to the anti-Trump views of his wife, Anne Applebaum, as a liability.
While nationalist leaders like Hungary’s Viktor Orbán and Slovakia’s Robert Fico welcome Trump’s victory, fearing liberalism’s decline, others worry about a U.S.-Russia deal that could sacrifice Ukrainian territory. Polish President Andrzej Duda remains optimistic, believing Trump will not abandon Ukraine after significant U.S. investments.
As the region braces for the unknown, analysts emphasize that Europe must unite and take greater responsibility for its security amid shifting U.S. priorities. The stakes, they warn, could shape the continent’s future for decades.
