U.S.-China relations are expected to be one of the biggest foreign policy challenges for President-elect Donald Trump. In recent years, the relationship has soured, with lawmakers across the political spectrum taking a tougher stance on China. Experts believe the direction of the relationship will depend on whether Trump follows through on his promise to impose steep tariffs on Chinese goods, and how much he is influenced by advisers advocating for a broader confrontation with China.
Trump’s announcement of a 10% tariff on Chinese goods, along with additional tariffs on Canada and Mexico, has rattled global markets. Some economists warn that tariffs of up to 60% could increase consumer prices in the U.S. and trigger a trade war with China, similar to his first term. Analysts also warn that these tariffs could strain cooperation on other issues, such as combating fentanyl trafficking.
Chinese officials have responded cautiously, with President Xi Jinping expressing willingness to cooperate with the U.S. but emphasizing four “red lines” in U.S.-China relations, including Taiwan and human rights. If Trump imposes high tariffs, China may retaliate with tariffs on U.S. products or other economic measures.
Trump’s advisers, including hardline critics of China like Sen. Marco Rubio and Rep. Mike Waltz, are likely to push for more confrontational policies. However, Trump may take a more transactional approach, seeking concessions from China rather than pursuing ideological goals. Meanwhile, figures like Elon Musk, with strong business ties to China, may play a role in easing tensions.
Also read: Trump’s Proposed Tariffs May Shift Canadian, Mexican Oil Supply to Asia
